Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football J.D. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. Its a knock on his offensive line. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. His fantasy value was bolstered late in the year due to an insane usage rate in the passing game, seeing a whopping 8.6 targets per game when Alex Smith started. However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. Arizona Cardinals: All-time underrated, overrated players Green Bay seems to like A.J. 2022/07/02 . Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit? That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Without the volume, it is going to be difficult to get decent fantasy numbers. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. Without the volume, he is hard to use. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. There's too much risk to draft him as an ever-week starter. Chris "Beanie" Wells. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. Overrated at the Oscars: Best Picture winners most out of step with Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. Jeff Haseley: Clyde Edwards-Helaire has all of the tools and skills to be a successful fantasy back but failing to finish runs in the end zone has slowed his progress. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. The fact is, he never . The Ravens have had the #1 rushing offense in the league for the last two years straight but have finished 31st overall in total running back targets in that same time span. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB28. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. So as we can see, Bettis had about the 9th best run blocking offensive line in the NFL during his career. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. But drafting him as a high-upside No. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. McKissic. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs - Bleacher Report He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. Instead, McKissic is a receiving-centric option where targets will be at a premium considering the competition in Washington, which was not present in the 2020 version with notable wide receiver additions Curtis Samuel, Adam Humphries, and Dyami Brown. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. James is the more physically gifted player. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Most Overrated RB Of All-Time - Bleacher Report Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13.

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